War, Oil at $110, and Why the Market Is Rotating Under Your Feet.

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Markets are on edge. Oil has surged past $110 a barrel, geopolitical tensions are escalating, and investors are asking the same question: Is this the start of something bigger—and should I change my portfolio?

In this episode of Payne Points of Wealth, Bob, Ryan, and Chris Payne break down what’s actually happening beneath the headlines. While the media focuses on fear and conflict, the market is quietly sending a very different message.

You’ll hear why:

  • The so‑called “Magnificent Seven” may have become the Lag‑7
  • Capital is rotating—not fleeing—into energy, industrials, materials, and dividend‑paying stocks
  • AI may be benefiting everyone except the AI stocks themselves
  • Economic data remains surprisingly resilient despite war and higher oil prices
  • Yield, diversification, and income matter more than chasing the next hot trade
  • Market timing, overconcentration, and media-driven investing can quietly sabotage long‑term plans

The conversation also tackles real client concerns—volatility, recession fears, portfolio drawdowns—and explains why perspective, planning, and staying invested matter far more than reacting to headlines.

If you’re wondering how to navigate uncertainty, protect your wealth, and avoid confusing a bull market with brilliance, this episode is a must-listen.

 

The Left Versus The Right with Governor David Paterson and Jake Novak | 04-04-26

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Former Gov. David Paterson and guest Jake Novak engage in a wide-ranging dialogue that pivots between personal anecdotes and aggressive political critique. The conversation is structured around three primary pillars: a retrospective on New York City crime, a defense of Donald Trump’s foreign policy regarding Iran, and a controversial call for community self-reliance and internal accountability. Novak utilizes his formative years in Queens to argue that progressive legal reforms, such as no-bail policies, ultimately devastate the minority neighborhoods they claim to protect. The speakers conclude by challenging their own ethnic communities to abandon victimhood narratives in favor of active self-defense and a rejection of the moral excuses often used to explain away violent behavior.

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Jake Novak: Trump Derangement Syndrome Has Compromised the Moral Judgement of President Trump’s Critics | 04-04-26

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Fmr. Gov. David Paterson and Jake Novak critique the radicalization of political discourse, arguing that intense personal animosity toward Donald Trump has compromised the moral judgment of his critics. They use the metaphor of a sibling joining a group of bullies to describe those who support adversarial regimes like Iran simply because they oppose the current administration's actions. The dialogue transitions into a character study of Trump’s unpredictable personality and brash communication style, which the speakers suggest is a familiar cultural archetype that should be viewed with objective detachment rather than emotional obsession. Furthermore, they analyze Trump's strategic use of political theater, such as hinting at a third term to maintain authority and avoid becoming a lame-duck president.

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Moore Money with Steve Moore | 04-04-26

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Steve Moore and several guests discuss a fusion of free-market economics, energy independence, and political justice. The primary discourse centers on the resilience of the American economy despite rising gas prices, which the speakers attribute to the conflict in the Middle East and domestic regulatory hurdles hindering refinery expansion. Significant emphasis is placed on the Trump-era tax cuts and the reduction of the federal workforce as essential drivers of prosperity. A recurring, urgent theme is the denunciation of prosecutorial misconduct, with Moore and former Congressman Bob Livingston arguing that the justice system has been weaponized to target political dissidents. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

 

Bob Livingston on His New Book | 04-04-26

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Steve Moore speaks with former Congressman Bob Livingston about his career and his new book, The Rainbow Chaser. While acknowledging Livingston’s legacy of achieving balanced budgets during the 1990s, the conversation primarily focuses on the rising threat of prosecutorial misconduct and the perceived weaponization of the justice system against political enemies. Livingston shares his personal account of being targeted by a federal investigation that, despite resulting in no charges, caused significant financial and reputational damage.

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

 

EJ Antoni on the Current State of the American Economy | 04-04-26

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EJ Antoni joins host Steve Moore to analyze the current state of the American economy, focusing on the discrepancies between positive headline jobs reports and the reality of a shrinking labor force. The discussion highlights how rising energy and fertilizer costs act as a hidden tax on growth, while demographic shifts like baby boomer retirements create a critical need for human capital and legal immigration. Antoni further explores the future of productivity, arguing that technological advancements such as robotics and AI will ultimately create more jobs than they displace.

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

 

Tom Pyle: We Are Still Tied to the World’s Oil Supply | 04-04-26

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Steve Moore and Tom Pyle discussing the complexities of American energy policy and the reasons behind high domestic fuel costs. Pyle explains that despite record-breaking production, the United States remains tied to global oil prices because many domestic refineries are outdated and designed to process foreign crude rather than local supplies. The conversation identifies bureaucratic regulation and infrastructure bottlenecks as the primary obstacles to energy independence, specifically criticizing state-level resistance to pipelines and the lack of new refinery construction.

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

 

Fmr. Rep. Bob Livingston (R-LA) | 04-04-26

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Steve Moore speaks with former Congressman Bob Livingston about his career and his new book, The Rainbow Chaser. While acknowledging Livingston’s legacy of achieving balanced budgets during the 1990s, the conversation primarily focuses on the rising threat of prosecutorial misconduct and the perceived weaponization of the justice system against political enemies. Livingston shares his personal account of being targeted by a federal investigation that, despite resulting in no charges, caused significant financial and reputational damage. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

 

EJ Antoni | 04-04-26

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EJ Antoni joins host Steve Moore to analyze the current state of the American economy, focusing on the discrepancies between positive headline jobs reports and the reality of a shrinking labor force. The discussion highlights how rising energy and fertilizer costs act as a hidden tax on growth, while demographic shifts like baby boomer retirements create a critical need for human capital and legal immigration. Antoni further explores the future of productivity, arguing that technological advancements such as robotics and AI will ultimately create more jobs than they displace. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

 

Tom Pyle | 04-04-26

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Steve Moore and Tom Pyle discussing the complexities of American energy policy and the reasons behind high domestic fuel costs. Pyle explains that despite record-breaking production, the United States remains tied to global oil prices because many domestic refineries are outdated and designed to process foreign crude rather than local supplies. The conversation identifies bureaucratic regulation and infrastructure bottlenecks as the primary obstacles to energy independence, specifically criticizing state-level resistance to pipelines and the lack of new refinery construction. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices